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	<title>alainsaffel.comswine flu | alainsaffel.com</title>
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		<title>Swine flu still a pandemic</title>
		<link>http://alainsaffel.com/swine-flu-still-pandemic/</link>
		<comments>http://alainsaffel.com/swine-flu-still-pandemic/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Jun 2010 16:42:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alain Saffel</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Personal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[flu]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[h1n1]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[health]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pharmaceutical companies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[swine flu]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WHO]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://alainsaffel.com/?p=1012</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Swine flu never lived up to its billing, but the World Health Organization is hoping that will change. H1N1 is still a pandemic. I feel fine. Do you feel fine?]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://alainsaffel.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/Stephen-King-The-Stand.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-1013" style="margin-right: 10px;" title="Stephen-King-The-Stand" src="http://alainsaffel.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/Stephen-King-The-Stand-207x300.jpg" alt="" width="207" height="300" /></a>CBC&#8217;s The Current is running a piece this morning about world panics  like SARS and swine flu (H1N1).</p>
<p>Apparently the World Health Organization changed their definition of a  pandemic before H1N1. It seems that the rest of the world heard  &#8220;pandemic&#8221; and thought of the old definition which is akin to &#8220;plague.&#8221;</p>
<p>No surprise that the questions now revolve around who was on the  committee that made the decision to change the definition and declare  H1N1 a pandemic. Were there financial reasons for that decision? I guess  the WHO doesn&#8217;t want to say who was on the committee.</p>
<p>The WHO has certainly discredited itself by taking the actions it has.  There may well be a true pandemic that really is broadly lethal, but  will people listen next time?</p>
<p>It seems now that the declaration of a pandemic had more to do with  lining the pockets of pharmaceutical companies eager to sell anti-viral  drugs and a rushed-to-market vaccine.</p>
<p>Am I worried about the next pandemic? No, not really. I&#8217;m certainly  going to be quite skeptical. In the future I plan to look for vaccines  that are mercury-free at the very least. I&#8217;m more worried about poor  quality and contaminated vaccines.</p>
<p>This is sort of ironic as I am partway through one of my favourite  books: Stephen King&#8217;s The Stand. It&#8217;s about a flu-like virus that  escapes a U.S. government virus research facility and wipes out about  99.5% of the human population.</p>
<p>I like it because it&#8217;s plausible. It&#8217;s much scarier than vampires and  werewolves.</p>
<p>What I do think is plausible is that we&#8217;re going to hear more BS  announcements from the chicken little WHO about how we should panic over  the latest virus with the greatest potential for the big pharmaceutical  companies to profit heavily.</p>
<p>Some things never change.</p>
<p>*cough cough*</p>
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		<title>Mexican swine flu will kill us all, they think. Maybe.</title>
		<link>http://alainsaffel.com/mexican-swine-flu/</link>
		<comments>http://alainsaffel.com/mexican-swine-flu/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 29 Apr 2009 15:59:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alain Saffel</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Personal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Travel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mexico]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[outbreak]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[swine flu]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[virus]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://alainsaffel.com/?p=487</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It's a bad time to be a hypochondriac, but a good time to be selling hand sanitizer and surgical masks. The economy didn't kill us, but the Mexican swine flu might!]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignleft size-full wp-image-488" style="margin-right: 10px;" title="swine-flu" src="http://alainsaffel.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/04/swine-flu.jpg" alt="swine-flu" width="250" height="150" />We thought it was going to be avian flu, but it&#8217;s actually Mexican swine flu that is going to develop into the pandemic that&#8217;s going to wipe out the world, or so some might have us believe.</p>
<p>You can&#8217;t read very far in the newspaper (or social media, if so inclined) in the last week without finding some story about swine flu in Mexico and how it&#8217;s spreading. It&#8217;s everywhere and the story has taken on a life of its own.</p>
<p>What do we know? <a title="Mexican swine flu: why are they dying?" href="http://www.cnn.com/2009/HEALTH/04/28/swine.flu.mexico/index.html" target="_blank">Thousands in Mexico are believed to have been infected with swine flu</a> and at least 152 are suspected to have died, but only seven in Mexico (at this point) are confirmed swine flu deaths. It&#8217;s been found in the U.S., <a title="Some Canadians have swine flu too" href="http://www.cbc.ca/canada/story/2009/04/28/canada-swine-flu-cases-rise.html" target="_blank">Canada</a>, France and New Zealand. There&#8217;s also been one confirmed death in the U.S. now. There&#8217;s even <a title="Alberta swine flu cases" href="http://www.cbc.ca/canada/edmonton/story/2009/04/28/edm-alberta-swine-flu.html" target="_blank">swine flu in Alberta</a>.</p>
<p>The thinking is that this could develop into a pandemic. It&#8217;s at a 4 on a scale of 6 on the pandemic alert level, for what it&#8217;s worth. It basically is just a reference to how transmissible it is; not to its lethality.<br />
Travelling to Mexico</p>
<p>It took a while, but the warnings finally came that travel to Mexico is not advised. They don&#8217;t want to disrupt world trade as happened during the <a title="Is swine flu going to be worse than SARS?" href="http://www.reuters.com/article/topNews/idUSTRE53N4PB20090424" target="_blank">SARS outbreak in Canada in 2003</a>, but it&#8217;s kind of unavoidable now. There are a number of companies that have cancelled travel to Mexico.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s probably not a bad idea to avoid travelling to Mexico until things are under control and we all know whether or not we&#8217;re going to die from swine flu or not.  If it&#8217;s any consolation, there&#8217;s a village in Mexico where the villagers insist it&#8217;s the <a title="Mexican villagers say swine flu started there" href="http://www.cbc.ca/health/story/2009/04/28/swine-flu-origin042809.html" target="_blank">swine flu outbreak ground zero</a>.</p>
<h2>What&#8217;s the real flu risk?</h2>
<p>The point has also been made that <a title="Is swine flu any worse than the regular flu?" href="http://www.cnn.com/2009/HEALTH/04/28/regular.flu/index.html" target="_blank">thousands die from the regular flu</a> every year, with one estimate at 250,000 to 500,000 flu deaths every year. You mostly have to worry about that if you&#8217;re 65 or older.</p>
<p>I do worry about these things, but something is going to get you eventually. It wouldn&#8217;t hurt to take some <a title="Swine flu precautions, like any other flu" href="http://www.tipsfromthetlist.com/article12193.html" target="_blank">typical flu precautions</a> like washing your hands, staying home if you&#8217;re sick, cover your mouth when you cough, don&#8217;t touch your eyes or mouth, avoid people who are sick and, it may seem obvious, be healthy (exercise, eat well, etc).</p>
<p>So, no matter what happens, there&#8217;s still going to be a large number of us who survive. Let&#8217;s hope it is the pandemic that never was. If you feel the urge to go root in the garden, please stay home for a few days.</p>
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